Matchup edge
Form edge: Milwaukee Brewers, 5-0 in the last 5 games against 4-1 for San Diego Padres.
Matchup to watch: San Diego Padres’ attack (index 99) against Milwaukee Brewers’ defence (index 85).
Matchup to watch: Milwaukee Brewers’ attack (index 115) against San Diego Padres’ defence (index 94).
Recent form: last 5
San Diego Padres: 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5, with 35 runs scored and 23 conceded.
| Sep 30, 2026 | vs Chicago Cubs | W | 4–1 |
| Sep 29, 2026 | vs Chicago Cubs | W | 8–0 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs Arizona Diamondbacks | W | 9–4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs Arizona Diamondbacks | W | 10–7 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | vs Arizona Diamondbacks | L | 4–11 |
Milwaukee Brewers: 5 wins and 0 losses in the last 5, with 26 runs scored and 12 conceded.
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs St. Louis Cardinals | W | 6–4 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | vs St. Louis Cardinals | W | 3–2 |
| Sep 25, 2026 | vs St. Louis Cardinals | W | 8–4 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | at Philadelphia Phillies | W | 5–1 |
| Sep 23, 2026 | at Philadelphia Phillies | W | 4–1 |
Results before kickoff, newest first.
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings on record, San Diego Padres won 4, Milwaukee Brewers won 1.
| Aug 12, 2026 | San Diego Padres | 4–3 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Aug 11, 2026 | San Diego Padres | 11–2 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| Aug 10, 2026 | San Diego Padres | 3–2 | Milwaukee Brewers |
| May 14, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers | 7–1 | San Diego Padres |
| May 13, 2026 | Milwaukee Brewers | 1–3 | San Diego Padres |
Season so far
San Diego Padres are 6th of 30 on win rate after 162 games (91-71).
Milwaukee Brewers are 1st of 30 on win rate after 162 games (103-59).
| # | Team | P | W | L | Runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | San Diego Padres | 162 | 91 | 71 | 722:681 |
| 1 | Milwaukee Brewers | 162 | 103 | 59 | 832:618 |
Team season model
- San Diego Padres attack index 99: 1% less scoring per game than the league average.
- San Diego Padres defence index 94: 6% less conceded per game than the league average.
- San Diego Padres rate 3rd of 30 on results-based strength, rising over their last 5 games.
- Milwaukee Brewers attack index 115: 15% more scoring per game than the league average.
- Milwaukee Brewers defence index 85: 15% less conceded per game than the league average.
- Milwaukee Brewers rate 1st of 30 on results-based strength, rising over their last 5 games.
Index 100 is the league average per game. Above 100 in attack means more scoring; below 100 in defence means fewer conceded.
Team news
San Diego Padres
- Walker Buehler (SP): paternity, personal. Buehler allowed four runs (three earned) on five hits, a walk and a hit batsman while striking out three over 3.2 innings in a no-decision versus the Diamondbacks on Saturday. (ESPN, Oct 3, 2026)
- Rodolfo Duran (C): 60-Day-IL, right forearm. The Padres recalled Duran from Triple-A El Paso on Tuesday and placed him on the 60-day injured list with a right forearm strain. (ESPN, Sep 29, 2026)
- Casey Mize (SP): 15-Day-IL, right ankle. Mize (6-10) allowed seven runs on seven hits, two walks and a hit batsman while striking out one over four innings to take the loss versus the Diamondbacks on Friday. (ESPN, Sep 26, 2026)
Milwaukee Brewers
- Brandon Woodruff (SP): 60-Day-IL, right shoulder. Woodruff (shoulder) completed the flat-ground portion of his throwing program Sunday and is awaiting to receive clearance to throw off the mound, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports. (ESPN, Sep 29, 2026)
- Milwaukee Brewers are embracing the pressure and their youth as NLDS begins: 'There's a different feeling around the team' — The Brewers haven't reached the World Series since 1982. This team is hoping to change that. (Yahoo Sports, Oct 3, 2026)
- MLB Trade Rumors projects $59.1 million for sixteen arbitration-eligible Brewers — Contreras, Turang, Vaughn, and Megill all expected to earn at least $8MM next season (Yahoo Sports, Oct 3, 2026)
Headlines gathered October 3, 2026 from the outlets named. Third-party reporting, not verified by SportAnalyst.
What the full preview covers
- Key factors: the matchups and numbers that shape this game.
- Player form: recent output from the players who matter most.
- Team news: injuries and availability from the latest reports.
- Analyst chat: ask follow-up questions about this game (All-Access).
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