Matchup edge
Form edge: Tampa Bay Rays, 4-1 in the last 5 games against 2-3 for Houston Astros.
Matchup to watch: Houston Astros’ attack (index 99) against Tampa Bay Rays’ defence (index 92).
Matchup to watch: Tampa Bay Rays’ attack (index 100) against Houston Astros’ defence (index 106).
Recent form: last 5
Houston Astros: 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5, with 18 runs scored and 23 conceded.
| Sep 12, 2026 | at Tampa Bay Rays | L | 2–3 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | at Tampa Bay Rays | L | 1–3 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | at Philadelphia Phillies | W | 2–1 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | at Philadelphia Phillies | L | 7–11 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | at Philadelphia Phillies | W | 6–5 |
Tampa Bay Rays: 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5, with 21 runs scored and 9 conceded.
| Sep 12, 2026 | vs Houston Astros | W | 3–2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | vs Houston Astros | W | 3–1 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | at Atlanta Braves | L | 1–3 |
| Sep 9, 2026 | at Atlanta Braves | W | 7–2 |
| Sep 8, 2026 | at Atlanta Braves | W | 7–1 |
Results before kickoff, newest first.
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings on record, Houston Astros won 2, Tampa Bay Rays won 3.
| Sep 12, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays | 3–2 | Houston Astros |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Tampa Bay Rays | 3–1 | Houston Astros |
| Jul 5, 2026 | Houston Astros | 2–0 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Houston Astros | 10–8 | Tampa Bay Rays |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Houston Astros | 1–3 | Tampa Bay Rays |
Season so far
Houston Astros are 13th of 30 on win rate after 149 games (75-74).
Tampa Bay Rays are 3rd of 30 on win rate after 148 games (89-59).
| # | Team | P | W | L | Runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Houston Astros | 149 | 75 | 74 | 665:708 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Rays | 148 | 89 | 59 | 668:609 |
Team season model
- Houston Astros attack index 99: 1% less scoring per game than the league average.
- Houston Astros defence index 106: 6% more conceded per game than the league average.
- Tampa Bay Rays attack index 100: scoring level with the league average per game.
- Tampa Bay Rays defence index 92: 8% less conceded per game than the league average.
Index 100 is the league average per game. Above 100 in attack means more scoring; below 100 in defence means fewer conceded.
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- Key factors: the matchups and numbers that shape this game.
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