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Cleveland Guardians 7–3 Tampa Bay Rays: match recap

CLECleveland GuardiansWWWLL7
TBTampa Bay RaysWWWLW3

FinalMLB · First pitch Oct 13, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC · Venue: Tropicana Field

Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays finished 7–3 (MLB) on October 12, 2026. Below: the form, standings and head-to-head record both teams took into the game.

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Match recap

The Guardians overwhelmed the Rays with a 14-hit attack, winning 7-3 in Game 1 of the ALCS. Chase DeLauter set the table with three hits and a homer, while José Ramírez and Patrick Bailey each drove in runs. Tampa Bay's Drew Rasmussen kept them close for six innings, but the bullpen couldn't contain Cleveland's relentless lineup.

Cleveland's offense came out swinging from the first pitch, tagging Rays starter Drew Rasmussen for two runs in the opening frame. Chase DeLauter led off the game with a double and later scored on a Nathaniel Lowe single, and Patrick Bailey followed with a solo homer in the second to make it 3-0. Rasmussen settled in after that, holding the Guardians to just two earned runs over six innings with seven strikeouts, but the damage was done. The Rays clawed back with two runs in the fourth off Cleveland starter Foster Griffin, keyed by a Junior Caminero double and a Jonny DeLuca single, but the Guardians bullpen locked it down. In the seventh, Tampa Bay's Cole Sulser imploded, allowing three runs on two hits and a walk, capped by a two-run single from Jo Adell that blew the game open. Cedric Mullins homered in the bottom of the ninth for Tampa, but it was too little, too late as Cleveland's 64.8% model share advantage — fueled by a 14-7 hit disparity — proved decisive.

Key factors

  • Cleveland's 14-hit barrage overwhelmed Tampa Bay's bullpen after Rasmussen exited, with the Guardians out-hitting the Rays 14-7 and doubling them up in extra-base hits (2 HR vs. 1).
  • Cleveland Guardians beat Tampa Bay Rays 7-3.

The Analyst's take

Cleveland's contact-based approach — 14 hits, only one walk — exposed a Rays bullpen that had been rested but rusty after four days off. The model share split of 64.8–35.2 reflected a Guardians lineup that simply outhit Tampa Bay in every inning. If the Rays can't get length from their starters and force Cleveland to beat quality relievers, this series tips heavily in favor of the visitors.

Matchup comparison

Recent form: Tampa Bay Rays, 4-1 in the last 5 games against 3-2 for Cleveland Guardians.

Matchup to watch: Cleveland Guardians’ attack (index 93) against Tampa Bay Rays’ defence (index 90).

Matchup to watch: Tampa Bay Rays’ attack (index 101) against Cleveland Guardians’ defence (index 92).

Recent form: last 5

Cleveland Guardians: 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5, with 23 runs scored and 15 conceded.

Cleveland Guardians
Oct 10, 2026vs Chicago White SoxW2–0
Oct 8, 2026at Chicago White SoxW9–5
Oct 7, 2026at Chicago White SoxW9–3
Oct 5, 2026vs Chicago White SoxL3–4
Oct 3, 2026vs Chicago White SoxL0–3

Tampa Bay Rays: 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5, with 25 runs scored and 13 conceded.

Tampa Bay Rays
Oct 7, 2026at New York YankeesW4–3
Oct 5, 2026vs New York YankeesW5–2
Oct 3, 2026vs New York YankeesW1–0
Sep 27, 2026at Philadelphia PhilliesL3–7
Sep 26, 2026at Philadelphia PhilliesW12–1

Results before kickoff, newest first.

Head-to-head

In the last 5 meetings on record, Cleveland Guardians won 1, Tampa Bay Rays won 4.

Jul 26, 2026Tampa Bay Rays1–0Cleveland Guardians
Jul 25, 2026Tampa Bay Rays3–0Cleveland Guardians
Jul 24, 2026Tampa Bay Rays11–3Cleveland Guardians
Apr 29, 2026Cleveland Guardians3–1Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 28, 2026Cleveland Guardians0–1Tampa Bay Rays

Season so far

Cleveland Guardians are 11th of 30 on win rate after 162 games (85-77).

Tampa Bay Rays are 3rd of 30 on win rate after 162 games (98-64).

#TeamPWLRuns
11Cleveland Guardians1628577678:667
3Tampa Bay Rays1629864736:650

Team season model

  • Cleveland Guardians attack index 93: 7% less scoring per game than the league average.
  • Cleveland Guardians defence index 92: 8% less conceded per game than the league average.
  • Tampa Bay Rays attack index 101: 1% more scoring per game than the league average.
  • Tampa Bay Rays defence index 90: 10% less conceded per game than the league average.

Index 100 is the league average per game. Above 100 in attack means more scoring; below 100 in defence means fewer conceded.

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More MLB games that day

  • Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee BrewersOct 12, 2026 · 4–7
  • All MLB games →
  • Cleveland Guardians: form and fixtures →
  • Tampa Bay Rays: form and fixtures →
  • Baseball today →
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