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Cincinnati Reds 5–1 Toronto Blue Jays: match recap

CINCincinnati RedsLWLWL5
TORToronto Blue JaysWLLLW1

FinalMLB · Start Sep 26, 2026, 7:07 PM UTC · Venue: Rogers Centre

Cincinnati Reds and Toronto Blue Jays finished 5–1 (MLB) on September 26, 2026. Below: the form, standings and head-to-head record both teams took into the game.

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Match recap

Cincinnati used a power-and-discipline approach to overwhelm Toronto 5-1. Rhett Lowder dealt six shutout innings while JJ Bleday's solo homer and Héctor Rodríguez's two-hit, two-RBI day paced a patient lineup that drew six walks.

The Reds jumped ahead early on Bleday's first-inning solo shot and never looked back, supported by Lowder's efficient 79-pitch outing that kept Blue Jays hitters off balance despite just two strikeouts. Toronto's bullpen held Cincinnati scoreless over the middle frames, but defensive miscues (two errors) and a lack of offensive punch—.167 average, 11 strikeouts, 13 left on base—doomed the home side. A late rally in the eighth against Connor Phillips produced Toronto's only run on an Andrés Giménez RBI groundout, but that was all they could muster.

Key factors

  • Rhett Lowder's six innings of three-hit, zero-run ball neutralized Toronto's lineup
  • Cincinnati's six walks and one home run provided steady scoring pressure
  • Toronto's defensive errors and .167 average stranded 13 runners

The Analyst's verdict

Cincinnati's formula—quality starting pitching, patient at-bats, and timely hitting—is a reliable blueprint. Toronto's lineup remains in a funk, with Vlad Guerrero Jr. and Alejandro Kirk combining for zero hits; that's a hole that needs patching before the playoffs.

Matchup edge

Even on form: both teams went 2-3 in their last 5 games.

Matchup to watch: Cincinnati Reds’ attack (index 92) against Toronto Blue Jays’ defence (index 96).

Matchup to watch: Toronto Blue Jays’ attack (index 90) against Cincinnati Reds’ defence (index 114).

Recent form: last 5

Cincinnati Reds: 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5, with 19 runs scored and 24 conceded.

Cincinnati Reds
Sep 25, 2026at Toronto Blue JaysL5–6
Sep 24, 2026at Atlanta BravesW7–6
Sep 23, 2026at Atlanta BravesL2–3
Sep 22, 2026at Atlanta BravesW4–0
Sep 20, 2026vs Chicago CubsL1–9

Toronto Blue Jays: 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5, with 20 runs scored and 19 conceded.

Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 25, 2026vs Cincinnati RedsW6–5
Sep 23, 2026at Baltimore OriolesL2–4
Sep 23, 2026at Baltimore OriolesL2–4
Sep 21, 2026at Baltimore OriolesL3–4
Sep 20, 2026at Texas RangersW7–2

Results before kickoff, newest first.

Head-to-head

In the last 4 meetings on record, Cincinnati Reds won 1, Toronto Blue Jays won 3.

Sep 25, 2026Toronto Blue Jays6–5Cincinnati Reds
Sep 3, 2025 · last seasonCincinnati Reds9–13Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 2, 2025 · last seasonCincinnati Reds9–12Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 1, 2025 · last seasonCincinnati Reds5–4Toronto Blue Jays

Season so far

Cincinnati Reds are 23rd of 30 on win rate after 160 games (74-86).

Toronto Blue Jays are 18th of 30 on win rate after 160 games (78-82).

#TeamPWLRuns
23Cincinnati Reds1607486660:820
18Toronto Blue Jays1607882642:688

Team season model

  • Cincinnati Reds attack index 92: 8% less scoring per game than the league average.
  • Cincinnati Reds defence index 114: 14% more conceded per game than the league average.
  • Toronto Blue Jays attack index 90: 10% less scoring per game than the league average.
  • Toronto Blue Jays defence index 96: 4% less conceded per game than the league average.

Index 100 is the league average per game. Above 100 in attack means more scoring; below 100 in defence means fewer conceded.

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  • New York Mets vs Washington NationalsSep 26, 2026 · 7–1
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  • Texas Rangers vs Minnesota TwinsSep 26, 2026 · 6–2
  • Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City RoyalsSep 26, 2026 · 11–5
  • Colorado Rockies vs Chicago White SoxSep 26, 2026 · 9–6
  • St. Louis Cardinals vs Milwaukee BrewersSep 26, 2026 · 2–3
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  • Toronto Blue Jays: form and fixtures →
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