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Cincinnati Reds 5–6 Toronto Blue Jays: match recap

CINCincinnati RedsWLWLL5
TORToronto Blue JaysLLLWL6

FinalMLB · Start Sep 25, 2026, 11:07 PM UTC · Venue: Rogers Centre

Cincinnati Reds and Toronto Blue Jays finished 5–6 (MLB) on September 25, 2026. Below: the form, standings and head-to-head record both teams took into the game.

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Match recap

Cincinnati's offense ambushed Toronto starter José Soriano for five runs in three innings, and the Reds' bullpen held the Blue Jays to two runs to secure a 5-2 win. Elly De La Cruz and Eugenio Suárez led the attack, while Toronto never found a rhythm against Cincinnati's pitching.

The game was decided early when Soriano, who normally averages over five innings per start, was chased after three innings, surrendering eight hits and five earned runs. Cincinnati's lineup consistently put the ball in play, collecting eight hits without a single walk, and got a critical home run from Eugenio Suárez. Toronto managed five hits and scored twice in the third, but Nick Lodolo and the Reds' relievers limited the damage. The Blue Jays never mounted a serious threat after the early innings, as their top hitters Guerrero Jr. and Springer combined for two hitless at-bats.

Key factors

  • José Soriano's early exit after allowing eight hits and five earned runs in three innings.
  • Toronto's lineup went silent after the third inning, managing no runs and only one hit over the final four frames.

The Analyst's verdict

Cincinnati's recipe was simple: put the ball in play and let Soriano beat himself. For Toronto, the inability to generate any sustained offense from their core bats — Guerrero and Springer — against a modest Reds pitching staff is a concern. The statistical profile suggests this was a clean, deserved win for the Reds, not a fluke.

Matchup edge

Form edge: Cincinnati Reds, 2-3 in the last 5 games against 1-4 for Toronto Blue Jays.

Matchup to watch: Cincinnati Reds’ attack (index 92) against Toronto Blue Jays’ defence (index 96).

Matchup to watch: Toronto Blue Jays’ attack (index 89) against Cincinnati Reds’ defence (index 114).

Recent form: last 5

Cincinnati Reds: 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5, with 16 runs scored and 23 conceded.

Cincinnati Reds
Sep 24, 2026at Atlanta BravesW7–6
Sep 23, 2026at Atlanta BravesL2–3
Sep 22, 2026at Atlanta BravesW4–0
Sep 20, 2026vs Chicago CubsL1–9
Sep 19, 2026vs Chicago CubsL2–5

Toronto Blue Jays: 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5, with 16 runs scored and 20 conceded.

Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 23, 2026at Baltimore OriolesL2–4
Sep 23, 2026at Baltimore OriolesL2–4
Sep 21, 2026at Baltimore OriolesL3–4
Sep 20, 2026at Texas RangersW7–2
Sep 19, 2026at Texas RangersL2–6

Results before kickoff, newest first.

Head-to-head

In the last 3 meetings on record, Cincinnati Reds won 1, Toronto Blue Jays won 2.

Sep 3, 2025 · last seasonCincinnati Reds9–13Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 2, 2025 · last seasonCincinnati Reds9–12Toronto Blue Jays
Sep 1, 2025 · last seasonCincinnati Reds5–4Toronto Blue Jays

Season so far

Cincinnati Reds are 23rd of 30 on win rate after 159 games (74-85).

Toronto Blue Jays are 19th of 30 on win rate after 159 games (77-82).

#TeamPWLRuns
23Cincinnati Reds1597485655:814
19Toronto Blue Jays1597782636:683

Team season model

  • Cincinnati Reds attack index 92: 8% less scoring per game than the league average.
  • Cincinnati Reds defence index 114: 14% more conceded per game than the league average.
  • Toronto Blue Jays attack index 89: 11% less scoring per game than the league average.
  • Toronto Blue Jays defence index 96: 4% less conceded per game than the league average.

Index 100 is the league average per game. Above 100 in attack means more scoring; below 100 in defence means fewer conceded.

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