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Toronto Maple Leafs 4–5 Seattle Kraken: match recap

TMLToronto Maple LeafsLWWWW4
SKSeattle KrakenLWWLL5

FinalNHL · Puck drop Oct 29, 2026, 2:00 AM UTC

Toronto Maple Leafs and Seattle Kraken finished 4–5 (NHL) on October 29, 2026. Below: the form, standings and head-to-head record both teams took into the game.

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Match recap

The Kraken edged the Maple Leafs 5-4 in a wild back-and-forth affair that saw Seattle jump out to an early lead and withstand a late Toronto surge. The home side's balanced attack and opportunistic finishing made the difference despite a monster night from Leafs star Gavin McKenna.

Seattle struck early with two first-period goals from Brandon Montour and John Hayden, controlling the game through the middle frame. Toronto replied with a three-goal second period powered by Gavin McKenna's two-goal effort, but the Kraken responded with two more tallies from Ben Catton and Ryker Evans to reclaim the lead. The Kraken's 65–35 model share advantage in team form comparison reflects their home-ice advantage and the extra goal they scored; the shot volume was even, but Seattle made the most of their chances. Toronto's Auston Matthews (1G/2A) was a constant threat, but the Leafs ran out of time to complete the comeback.

Key factors

  • Seattle's depth scoring: five different goal-scorers for the Kraken spread the offensive load and kept Toronto's defense off balance.
  • The numbers tell the story here: see the key factors, team form and season numbers for what the statistics indicate.
  • Home-ice advantage: the Kraken's form comparison driver tilted 65–35 in their favor, and they capitalized on the emotional boost of their home crowd.

The Analyst's take

Seattle's depth and home-ice advantage were the difference, but Toronto's top line showed it can produce at an elite level even without key forwards like John Tavares. The Kraken's model share of 65% in the form comparison suggests they earned the result, but the Leafs, despite a shot volume deadlock, will regret their defensive lapses in the second period.

Matchup comparison

Recent form: Toronto Maple Leafs, 4-1 in the last 5 games against 2-3 for Seattle Kraken.

Matchup to watch: Toronto Maple Leafs’ attack (index 119) against Seattle Kraken’s defence (index 112).

Matchup to watch: Seattle Kraken’s attack (index 120) against Toronto Maple Leafs’ defence (index 105).

Recent form: last 5

Toronto Maple Leafs: 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5, with 23 goals scored and 14 conceded.

Toronto Maple Leafs
Oct 27, 2026at Calgary FlamesL2–5
Oct 24, 2026at Edmonton OilersW7–2
Oct 22, 2026vs New York RangersW5–4
Oct 20, 2026at Columbus Blue JacketsW6–2
Oct 19, 2026vs San Jose SharksW3–1

Seattle Kraken: 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5, with 16 goals scored and 23 conceded.

Seattle Kraken
Oct 25, 2026vs Minnesota WildL1–5
Oct 23, 2026vs Utah MammothW5–3
Oct 21, 2026vs Detroit Red WingsW4–3
Oct 17, 2026at Florida PanthersL3–8
Oct 15, 2026at Tampa Bay LightningL3–4

Results before kickoff, newest first.

Head-to-head

In the last 2 meetings on record, Toronto Maple Leafs won 0, Seattle Kraken won 2.

Jan 30, 2026 · last seasonSeattle Kraken5–2Toronto Maple Leafs
Oct 18, 2025 · last seasonToronto Maple Leafs3–4Seattle Kraken

Season so far

Toronto Maple Leafs are 17th of 32 on win rate after 14 games (7-7).

Seattle Kraken are 13th of 32 on win rate after 12 games (7-5).

#TeamPWLGoals
17Toronto Maple Leafs147752:46
13Seattle Kraken127545:42

Team season model

  • Toronto Maple Leafs attack index 119: 19% more scoring per game than the league average.
  • Toronto Maple Leafs defence index 105: 5% more conceded per game than the league average.
  • Seattle Kraken attack index 120: 20% more scoring per game than the league average.
  • Seattle Kraken defence index 112: 12% more conceded per game than the league average.

Index 100 is the league average per game. Above 100 in attack means more scoring; below 100 in defence means fewer conceded.

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  • Calgary Flames vs Edmonton OilersOct 29, 2026 · 0–4
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  • Toronto Maple Leafs: form and fixtures →
  • Seattle Kraken: form and fixtures →
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