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Tampa Bay Rays 4–5 Milwaukee Brewers: match recap

TBTampa Bay RaysLWWWL4
MILMilwaukee BrewersWWWWW5

FinalMLB · First pitch Oct 25, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC · Venue: American Family Field

Tampa Bay Rays and Milwaukee Brewers finished 4–5 (MLB) on October 24, 2026. Below: the form, standings and head-to-head record both teams took into the game.

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Match recap

The Brewers outlasted the Rays 5-4 in Game 1 of the World Series, using 11 hits and 5 walks to build an early lead before Tampa Bay's late surge made it a one-run game.

Milwaukee jumped on Tampa Bay starter Drew Rasmussen for three runs in the first three innings, powered by a Sal Frelick solo homer and clutch hitting from Cooper Pratt and William Contreras. The Brewers' 11-hit attack, backed by five walks, kept constant pressure on the Rays' pitching staff, who managed only seven hits. Tampa Bay fought back in the late innings, with Liam Hicks crushing a two-run homer, but Milwaukee's bullpen — Abner Uribe, JoJo Romero, Aaron Ashby, DL Hall, and Dustin May — combined for five shutout innings, allowing just two hits and striking out five.

Key factors

  • Milwaukee's 11 hits and 5 walks kept Rays pitchers under constant duress, creating a 58–42 model share in their favor for contact and plate discipline.
  • Milwaukee Brewers beat Tampa Bay Rays 5-4.
  • Tampa Bay's Liam Hicks connected for a two-run shot to cut the deficit to one, but the Rays left 14 runners on base, including three in the final two innings.

The Analyst's take

Milwaukee's ability to get on base and work counts puts them in strong position in this series, especially if their bullpen continues to deliver shutout work. Tampa Bay's contact numbers were pedestrian (.219 average) and their 14 left on base highlight missed opportunities that will need to be cleaned up. The numbers suggest the Brewers have a slight upper hand if they maintain this approach.

Matchup comparison

Recent form: Milwaukee Brewers, 5-0 in the last 5 games against 3-2 for Tampa Bay Rays.

Matchup to watch: Tampa Bay Rays’ attack (index 101) against Milwaukee Brewers’ defence (index 85).

Matchup to watch: Milwaukee Brewers’ attack (index 115) against Tampa Bay Rays’ defence (index 90).

Recent form: last 5

Tampa Bay Rays: 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5, with 21 runs scored and 13 conceded.

Tampa Bay Rays
Oct 23, 2026at Milwaukee BrewersL2–3
Oct 19, 2026vs Cleveland GuardiansW7–3
Oct 18, 2026at Cleveland GuardiansW3–1
Oct 17, 2026at Cleveland GuardiansW7–3
Oct 15, 2026at Cleveland GuardiansL2–3

Milwaukee Brewers: 5 wins and 0 losses in the last 5, with 24 runs scored and 13 conceded.

Milwaukee Brewers
Oct 23, 2026vs Tampa Bay RaysW3–2
Oct 15, 2026at Los Angeles DodgersW6–4
Oct 14, 2026at Los Angeles DodgersW6–2
Oct 12, 2026vs Los Angeles DodgersW7–4
Oct 11, 2026vs Los Angeles DodgersW2–1

Results before kickoff, newest first.

Head-to-head

In the last 5 meetings on record, Tampa Bay Rays won 1, Milwaukee Brewers won 4.

Oct 23, 2026Milwaukee Brewers3–2Tampa Bay Rays
Apr 1, 2026Milwaukee Brewers8–2Tampa Bay Rays
Mar 31, 2026Milwaukee Brewers6–2Tampa Bay Rays
Mar 30, 2026Milwaukee Brewers2–3Tampa Bay Rays
May 11, 2025 · last seasonTampa Bay Rays2–4Milwaukee Brewers

Season so far

Tampa Bay Rays are 3rd of 30 on win rate after 162 games (98-64).

Milwaukee Brewers are 1st of 30 on win rate after 162 games (103-59).

#TeamPWLRuns
3Tampa Bay Rays1629864736:650
1Milwaukee Brewers16210359832:618

Team season model

  • Tampa Bay Rays attack index 101: 1% more scoring per game than the league average.
  • Tampa Bay Rays defence index 90: 10% less conceded per game than the league average.
  • Milwaukee Brewers attack index 115: 15% more scoring per game than the league average.
  • Milwaukee Brewers defence index 85: 15% less conceded per game than the league average.

Index 100 is the league average per game. Above 100 in attack means more scoring; below 100 in defence means fewer conceded.

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