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Tampa Bay Lightning 3–6 Colorado Avalanche: match recap

TBLTampa Bay LightningWWWLW3
CAColorado AvalancheLLWLW6

FinalNHL · Puck drop Oct 24, 2026, 1:00 AM UTC

Tampa Bay Lightning and Colorado Avalanche finished 3–6 (NHL) on October 24, 2026. Below: the form, standings and head-to-head record both teams took into the game.

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Match recap

Colorado erased an early deficit with a six-goal barrage, riding Nathan MacKinnon's four-point night to a 6-3 win over Tampa Bay. The Avalanche's top line overwhelmed the Lightning after the first period, flipping the game on its head.

Tampa Bay struck first, with Jake Guentzel's pair and a goal from C. D'Astous building a 3-0 lead early. But Colorado responded with six unanswered goals, sparked by MacKinnon's playmaking and finished by timely strikes from Necas, Kadri, Lehkonen, Toews, and Svechkov. The Avalanche's model share of 81.9 percent reflects their complete control after the opening frame, with the home team generating a three-goal scoring advantage that rendered Tampa Bay's early burst irrelevant.

Key factors

  • MacKinnon's four-point engine (1G, 3A) single-handedly tilted the ice after Colorado fell behind by three goals.
  • Tampa Bay's inability to sustain pressure beyond the first period — their shots were even with Colorado's but the quality scoring chances evaporated.
  • Colorado's depth scoring: six different goal-scorers overwhelmed a Lightning defense that had no answer for the Avalanche's second surges.

The Analyst's take

This game showcased Colorado's offensive ceiling when MacKinnon dictates tempo, but the shaky start against a Lightning team missing key defensive structure raises a flag the Avalanche cannot ignore. Tampa Bay, meanwhile, continues to show they can generate offense in bursts but lack the defensive consistency to protect a lead against elite competition.

Matchup comparison

Recent form: Tampa Bay Lightning, 4-1 in the last 5 games against 2-3 for Colorado Avalanche.

Matchup to watch: Tampa Bay Lightning’s attack (index 110) against Colorado Avalanche’s defence (index 99).

Matchup to watch: Colorado Avalanche’s attack (index 131) against Tampa Bay Lightning’s defence (index 82).

Recent form: last 5

Tampa Bay Lightning: 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5, with 20 goals scored and 14 conceded.

Tampa Bay Lightning
Oct 21, 2026at Vegas Golden KnightsW6–2
Oct 17, 2026vs Vancouver CanucksW4–2
Oct 15, 2026vs Seattle KrakenW4–3
Oct 13, 2026at New York RangersL1–4
Oct 10, 2026at New York IslandersW5–3

Colorado Avalanche: 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5, with 15 goals scored and 14 conceded.

Colorado Avalanche
Oct 20, 2026at New Jersey DevilsL3–4
Oct 19, 2026at Philadelphia FlyersL2–3
Oct 17, 2026vs Pittsburgh PenguinsW5–2
Oct 15, 2026vs Dallas StarsL2–3
Oct 14, 2026at Dallas StarsW3–2

Results before kickoff, newest first.

Head-to-head

In the last 2 meetings on record, Tampa Bay Lightning won 1, Colorado Avalanche won 1.

Jan 7, 2026 · last seasonTampa Bay Lightning4–2Colorado Avalanche
Nov 5, 2025 · last seasonColorado Avalanche3–2Tampa Bay Lightning

Season so far

Tampa Bay Lightning are 2nd of 32 on win rate after 9 games (7-2).

Colorado Avalanche are 16th of 32 on win rate after 10 games (5-5).

#TeamPWLGoals
2Tampa Bay Lightning97231:23
16Colorado Avalanche105541:31

Team season model

  • Tampa Bay Lightning attack index 110: 10% more scoring per game than the league average.
  • Tampa Bay Lightning defence index 82: 18% less conceded per game than the league average.
  • Colorado Avalanche attack index 131: 31% more scoring per game than the league average.
  • Colorado Avalanche defence index 99: 1% less conceded per game than the league average.

Index 100 is the league average per game. Above 100 in attack means more scoring; below 100 in defence means fewer conceded.

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