San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers: preview, form and head-to-head

San Diego Padres
Milwaukee Brewers

UpcomingMLB · Start · Venue: American Family Field

Milwaukee Brewers host San Diego Padres (MLB) on October 9, 2026. Here is how both teams arrive: recent form, the season so far, past meetings and the latest team news.

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The 103-win Brewers host the wild-card Padres in a clash of contact-based contact vs. power-driven offense. Milwaukee's disciplined approach and home-field edge are countered by San Diego's superior rotation ERA and home-run pop. Statistically, a tightly contested series kickoff hangs on whether the Padres' arms can suppress Milwaukee's patient bats.

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Matchup edge

Form edge: Milwaukee Brewers, 5-0 in the last 5 games against 4-1 for San Diego Padres.

Matchup to watch: San Diego Padres’ attack (index 99) against Milwaukee Brewers’ defence (index 85).

Matchup to watch: Milwaukee Brewers’ attack (index 115) against San Diego Padres’ defence (index 94).

Recent form: last 5

San Diego Padres: 4 wins and 1 loss in the last 5, with 35 runs scored and 23 conceded.

San Diego Padres
Sep 30, 2026vs Chicago CubsW4–1
Sep 29, 2026vs Chicago CubsW8–0
Sep 27, 2026vs Arizona DiamondbacksW9–4
Sep 26, 2026vs Arizona DiamondbacksW10–7
Sep 25, 2026vs Arizona DiamondbacksL4–11

Milwaukee Brewers: 5 wins and 0 losses in the last 5, with 26 runs scored and 12 conceded.

Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 27, 2026vs St. Louis CardinalsW6–4
Sep 26, 2026vs St. Louis CardinalsW3–2
Sep 25, 2026vs St. Louis CardinalsW8–4
Sep 24, 2026at Philadelphia PhilliesW5–1
Sep 23, 2026at Philadelphia PhilliesW4–1

Results before kickoff, newest first.

Head-to-head

In the last 5 meetings on record, San Diego Padres won 4, Milwaukee Brewers won 1.

Aug 12, 2026San Diego Padres4–3Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 11, 2026San Diego Padres11–2Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 10, 2026San Diego Padres3–2Milwaukee Brewers
May 14, 2026Milwaukee Brewers7–1San Diego Padres
May 13, 2026Milwaukee Brewers1–3San Diego Padres

Season so far

San Diego Padres are 6th of 30 on win rate after 162 games (91-71).

Milwaukee Brewers are 1st of 30 on win rate after 162 games (103-59).

#TeamPWLRuns
6San Diego Padres1629171722:681
1Milwaukee Brewers16210359832:618

Team season model

  • San Diego Padres attack index 99: 1% less scoring per game than the league average.
  • San Diego Padres defence index 94: 6% less conceded per game than the league average.
  • San Diego Padres rate 3rd of 30 on results-based strength, rising over their last 5 games.
  • Milwaukee Brewers attack index 115: 15% more scoring per game than the league average.
  • Milwaukee Brewers defence index 85: 15% less conceded per game than the league average.
  • Milwaukee Brewers rate 1st of 30 on results-based strength, rising over their last 5 games.

Index 100 is the league average per game. Above 100 in attack means more scoring; below 100 in defence means fewer conceded.

What the full preview covers

  • Key factors: the matchups and numbers that shape this game.
  • Player form: recent output from the players who matter most.
  • Team news: injuries and availability from the latest reports.
  • Analyst chat: ask follow-up questions about this game (All-Access).
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