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Philadelphia Phillies 4–3 Atlanta Braves: match recap

PHIPhiladelphia PhilliesLWLLL4
ATLAtlanta BravesWLWLL3

FinalMLB · Start Sep 30, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC · Venue: Truist Park

Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves finished 4–3 (MLB) on September 30, 2026. Below: the form, standings and head-to-head record both teams took into the game.

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Match recap

Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm went deep, and the Phillies' bullpen blanked Atlanta over the final three frames to secure a 4-3 Wild Card Series win. Tyler Mahle turned in a quality start for the Braves, but the offense couldn't capitalize on six walks and stranded 19 runners.

The Phillies jumped ahead early on a Kyle Schwarber solo shot and a Bryce Harper two-run homer, both off Tyler Mahle. Atlanta chipped away with a pair of runs in the fifth on a Matt Olson fielder's choice and a Drake Baldwin single, but Alec Bohm answered with a solo blast in the sixth. The Braves loaded the bases in the seventh and eighth but managed just one run on a bases-loaded walk, leaving the tying run on third. Andrew Painter and Alex McFarlane combined for 2.2 scoreless innings of relief to seal the win.

Key factors

  • Power disparity — Philadelphia hit three home runs to Atlanta's zero, accounting for all four of their runs.
  • Lack of clutch hitting — Atlanta left 19 runners on base and went 1-for-9 with runners in scoring position.
  • Plate discipline edge — Atlanta drew six walks but couldn't convert them into enough runs.

The Analyst's verdict

The Phillies' power advantage was the difference, and the bullpen duo of Painter and McFarlane looks plenty capable in high-leverage spots. Atlanta's inability to convert walks into runs is a red flag heading into an elimination game, but Mahle's stability gives them a chance if the bats wake up.

Matchup edge

Form edge: Atlanta Braves, 2-3 in the last 5 games against 1-4 for Philadelphia Phillies.

Matchup to watch: Philadelphia Phillies’ attack (index 98) against Atlanta Braves’ defence (index 86).

Matchup to watch: Atlanta Braves’ attack (index 102) against Philadelphia Phillies’ defence (index 96).

Recent form: last 5

Philadelphia Phillies: 1 win and 4 losses in the last 5, with 12 runs scored and 27 conceded.

Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 29, 2026at Atlanta BravesL3–5
Sep 27, 2026vs Tampa Bay RaysW7–3
Sep 26, 2026vs Tampa Bay RaysL1–12
Sep 25, 2026vs Tampa Bay RaysL0–2
Sep 24, 2026vs Milwaukee BrewersL1–5

Atlanta Braves: 2 wins and 3 losses in the last 5, with 22 runs scored and 21 conceded.

Atlanta Braves
Sep 29, 2026vs Philadelphia PhilliesW5–3
Sep 27, 2026at Miami MarlinsL3–5
Sep 26, 2026at Miami MarlinsW8–3
Sep 25, 2026at Miami MarlinsL0–3
Sep 24, 2026vs Cincinnati RedsL6–7

Results before kickoff, newest first.

Head-to-head

In the last 5 meetings on record, Philadelphia Phillies won 2, Atlanta Braves won 3.

Sep 29, 2026Atlanta Braves5–3Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 13, 2026Atlanta Braves4–9Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 12, 2026Atlanta Braves12–2Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 11, 2026Atlanta Braves6–5Philadelphia Phillies
Sep 7, 2026Philadelphia Phillies1–0Atlanta Braves

Season so far

Philadelphia Phillies are 8th of 30 on win rate after 162 games (88-74).

Atlanta Braves are 4th of 30 on win rate after 162 games (94-68).

#TeamPWLRuns
8Philadelphia Phillies1628874713:698
4Atlanta Braves1629468742:626

Team season model

  • Philadelphia Phillies attack index 98: 2% less scoring per game than the league average.
  • Philadelphia Phillies defence index 96: 4% less conceded per game than the league average.
  • Atlanta Braves attack index 102: 2% more scoring per game than the league average.
  • Atlanta Braves defence index 86: 14% less conceded per game than the league average.

Index 100 is the league average per game. Above 100 in attack means more scoring; below 100 in defence means fewer conceded.

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