Matchup edge
Form edge: Atlanta Dream W, 5-0 in the last 5 games against 3-2 for New York Liberty W.
Matchup to watch: New York Liberty W’s attack (index 103) against Atlanta Dream W’s defence (index 97).
Matchup to watch: Atlanta Dream W’s attack (index 105) against New York Liberty W’s defence (index 99).
Recent form: last 5
New York Liberty W: 3 wins and 2 losses in the last 5, with 433 points scored and 393 conceded.
| Sep 30, 2026 | vs Minnesota Lynx W | W | 87–71 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | at Minnesota Lynx W | W | 91–75 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | vs Atlanta Dream W | L | 65–83 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | vs Atlanta Dream W | L | 84–95 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | at Toronto Tempo W | W | 106–69 |
Atlanta Dream W: 5 wins and 0 losses in the last 5, with 469 points scored and 382 conceded.
| Sep 30, 2026 | at Washington Mystics W | W | 93–75 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | vs Washington Mystics W | W | 92–77 |
| Sep 24, 2026 | at New York Liberty W | W | 83–65 |
| Sep 22, 2026 | at New York Liberty W | W | 95–84 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | vs Chicago Sky W | W | 106–81 |
Results before kickoff, newest first.
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings on record, New York Liberty W won 2, Atlanta Dream W won 3.
| Sep 24, 2026 | New York Liberty W | 65–83 | Atlanta Dream W |
| Sep 22, 2026 | New York Liberty W | 84–95 | Atlanta Dream W |
| Jun 11, 2026 | Atlanta Dream W | 90–104 | New York Liberty W |
| Aug 23, 2025 · last season | Atlanta Dream W | 78–62 | New York Liberty W |
| Jul 13, 2025 · last season | New York Liberty W | 79–72 | Atlanta Dream W |
Season so far
New York Liberty W are 8th of 16 on win rate after 45 games (27-18).
Atlanta Dream W are 4th of 16 on win rate after 44 games (30-14).
| # | Team | P | W | L | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | New York Liberty W | 45 | 27 | 18 | 4034:3887 |
| 4 | Atlanta Dream W | 44 | 30 | 14 | 4019:3717 |
Team season model
- New York Liberty W attack index 103: 3% more scoring per game than the league average.
- New York Liberty W defence index 99: 1% less conceded per game than the league average.
- New York Liberty W rate 4th of 16 on results-based strength, steady over their last 5 games.
- Atlanta Dream W attack index 105: 5% more scoring per game than the league average.
- Atlanta Dream W defence index 97: 3% less conceded per game than the league average.
- Atlanta Dream W rate 1st of 16 on results-based strength, rising over their last 5 games.
Index 100 is the league average per game. Above 100 in attack means more scoring; below 100 in defence means fewer conceded.
Team news
New York Liberty W
- Han Xu (C): Day-To-Day, illness. Han (illness) didn't participate in Saturday's practice, Annie Costabile of The Athletic reports. (ESPN, Oct 3, 2026)
- Satou Sabally (F): Out, concussion. (ESPN, Oct 3, 2026)
- Elizabeth Balogun (G): Out, not injury related. Balogun (not with team) is out for Wednesday's game against the Dream. (ESPN, Sep 22, 2026)
Atlanta Dream W
- Matilde Villa (G): Out, coach's decision. Villa (coach's decision) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against New York. (ESPN, Sep 23, 2026)
- Liberty Notebook: Road success gives New York confidence heading to Atlanta — The Liberty’s best route to a WNBA second-round series victory over the Atlanta Dream is the same path taken in their first-round series win: stealing… (Yahoo Sports, Oct 3, 2026)
- The Atlanta Dream will face the New York Liberty, while the Golden State Valkyries will face the Las Vegas Aces… (Yahoo Sports, Oct 3, 2026)
Headlines gathered October 3, 2026 from the outlets named. Third-party reporting, not verified by SportAnalyst.
What the full preview covers
- Key factors: the matchups and numbers that shape this game.
- Player form: recent output from the players who matter most.
- Team news: injuries and availability from the latest reports.
- Analyst chat: ask follow-up questions about this game (All-Access).
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